Institutional symbiosis and evolution trajectories of the shadow timber industry complex of foreign countries in the context of structural transformations of the global economy
Rubrics: SCIENTIFIC ARTICLES
Authors:
1.
Samara Law Institute of the Federal Penitentiary Service of Russia
(Department of Humanities, Socio-Economic and Information Technologies of Management, associate professor)
employee
Russian Federation
employee
Russian Federation
2.
Samara State University of Economics
(Department of Physical Education, Senior lecturer)
Samara, Russian Federation
Samara, Russian Federation
3.
Samara National Research University named after Academician S. P. Korolev (Samara University)
student
Russian Federation
student
Russian Federation
Type:
Article
Pages:
from 217
to 230
Status:
In work
Received:
04.02.2026
Accepted:
04.02.2026
Published:
04.02.2026
Subject area:
UDC 330
Language:
Russian
Keywords:
transnational criminal groups, scenario forecasting, hybrid economic activity, strategic mimicry, environmental camouflage, systemic deconstruction
Abstract:
This study presents a comprehensive political economy analysis of the structural organization and development prospects of the informal sector of Colombia's forest industry. The primary focus is on the institutional symbiosis of criminal actors, corrupt government structures, and marginalized communities. It demonstrates that the system has reached a stage of institutional complementarity, where informal activity functions as a latent social contract and a cross-sectoral financial mechanism. Scenario modeling revealed trajectories of transformation within the sector: from strategic mimicry of legitimate business and "greenwashing" to operational synergy with transnational crime. The practical significance of this study lies in the development of strategies for the systemic deconstruction of criminal networks and the creation of alternative development models for forest regions.
This study presents a comprehensive political economy analysis of the structural organization and development prospects of the informal sector of Colombia's forest industry. The primary focus is on the institutional symbiosis of criminal actors, corrupt government structures, and marginalized communities. It demonstrates that the system has reached a stage of institutional complementarity, where informal activity functions as a latent social contract and a cross-sectoral financial mechanism. Scenario modeling revealed trajectories of transformation within the sector: from strategic mimicry of legitimate business and "greenwashing" to operational synergy with transnational crime. The practical significance of this study lies in the development of strategies for the systemic deconstruction of criminal networks and the creation of alternative development models for forest regions.
Keywords:
transnational criminal groups, scenario forecasting, hybrid economic activity, strategic mimicry, environmental camouflage, systemic deconstruction
transnational criminal groups, scenario forecasting, hybrid economic activity, strategic mimicry, environmental camouflage, systemic deconstruction
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