employee
student
A study of the development of the country's agricultural sector revealed that the successful modernization of livestock enterprises directly depends on the quality of cash flow forecasting and modeling. This article systematizes the most significant industry challenges and constraints, including aging equipment, declining labor productivity, and a shortage of working capital among producers. Drawing on successful domestic experience in implementing modern technologies, the authors propose a project solution for expanding the capacity of the fattening facility at SKIK Novomalyklinsky LLC. Calculating the project's parameters showed that eliminating the technological deficit at the enterprise allows for an increase in livestock production while reducing unit costs and associated expenses. A commercial viability analysis of the project allowed for the development of a flexible cash flow model, taking into account the use of government subsidies at a rate of 5%. Based on the results obtained, the high investment attractiveness of the developed project for the construction of a new fattening facility was proven: the estimated accumulated profit over three years will amount to 72.77 million rubles, the internal rate of return (IRR) will reach 69%, and a full return on investment is projected within 1 year and 1 month after the facility's launch.
animal husbandry, production modernization, cash flow modeling
1. Bondina, N.N. Diagnostika obespechennosti material'nymi resursami sel'skohozyaystvennyh organizaciy regiona / N.N. Bondina, I.A. Bondin, O.V. Lavrina, E.V. Shirokova // Niva Povolzh'ya. – 2024. – № 1 (69). – S. 4001.
2. Veklenko, V.I. Effektivnost' investiciy v myaso-produktovom podkomplekse Kurskoy oblasti / V.I. Veklenko, A.V. Dolgopolov // Vestnik Kurskoy gosudarstvennoy sel'skohozyaystvennoy akademii. – 2024. – № 5. – S. 113-117.
3. Gayduk, V.I. Effektivnost' investiciy v tehnicheskuyu modernizaciyu sistemy mikroklimata zhivotnovodcheskih pomescheniy / V.I. Gayduk, S.V. Gladkiy, G.A. Tereschenko // Moskovskiy ekonomicheskiy zhurnal. – 2021. – № 11. – S. 629-643.
4. Dovlatov, I.M. Investicionnaya privlekatel'nost' sovremennyh stroitel'nyh tehnologiy v agropromyshlennom komplekse: stoimostnoy analiz zhiznennogo cikla zhivotnovodcheskih pomescheniy / I.M. Dovlatov, D.A. Budnikov, V.Yu. Matveev // Vestnik NGIEI. – 2026. – № 3 (178). – S. 86-101.
5. Zhilyakov, D.I. Problemy i perspektivy razvitiya otrasli zhivotnovodstva v regione / D.I. Zhilyakov, Yu.V. Plahutina, V.G. Zareckaya, O.V. Sokolov, A.A. Soklakov // Vestnik Kurskoy gosudarstvennoy sel'skohozyaystvennoy akademii. – 2022. – № 1. – S. 97-105.
6. Lipchiu, N.V. Ocenka ekonomicheskoy effektivnosti investicionno-innovacionnogo proekta v zhivotnovodstve / N.V. Lipchiu, P.A. Nosalenko, K.I. Lipchiu // Politematicheskiy setevoy elektronnyy nauchnyy zhurnal Kubanskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta. – 2017. – № 132. – S. 1024-1034.
7. Naumov, I.V. Prognoz vliyaniya investiciy na prostranstvennuyu neodnorodnost' razvitiya otrasli zhivotnovodstva / I.V. Naumov, V.M. Sedel'nikov // Ekonomicheskie i social'nye peremeny: fakty, tendencii, prognoz. – 2023. – T. 16, № 2. – S. 88-111.
8. Proka, N.I. Ocenka i rol' stimulirovaniya truda v razvitie zhivotnovodstva / N.I. Proka // Vestnik agrarnoy nauki. – 2024. – № 2 (107). – S. 132-137
9. Rasskazov, A.N. Ocenka ekonomicheskoy effektivnosti modernizacii deystvuyuschih ob'ektov zhivotnovodstva na osnove vnedreniya peredovoy tehniki / A.N. Rasskazov // Tehnika i tehnologii v zhivotnovodstve. – 2022. – № 1 (45). – S. 103-107.
10. Tel'minova, N.V. Ocenka i analiz investicionnyh proektov v sfere agroteha / N.V. Tel'minova // Vestnik NGUEU. – 2022. – № 3. – S. 74-86.
