Prospects for the development of the economic system of the Russian Federation in the context of global economic and political upheavals
Rubrics: SCIENTIFIC ARTICLES
Authors:
1.
Povolzhskiy State University of Telecommunications
(kafedra cifrovoy ekonomiki, Associate Professor)
employee
employee
2.
Volga State University of Telecommunications and Informatics
student
Russian Federation
student
Russian Federation
Type:
Article
Pages:
from 342
to 358
Status:
Published
Received:
16.07.2025
Accepted:
17.07.2025
Published:
17.07.2025
Subject area:
UDC 330
Language:
Russian
Keywords:
sanctions, macroeconomic indicator, COVID-19 pandemic, aggravation of the global geopolitical situation, stock index, net profit, national currency, neocolonialism
Abstract (English):
The presented study focuses its epistemological focus on determining the correlational and causal relationships between exogenous shocks of an ecopolitical nature, which have intensified since the beginning of 2019, and the prospects for sustainable development of the national economic paradigm of the Russian Federation. Within the framework of the methodological framework of this research, a multivariate analysis of the transformational trends of key macroeconomic indicators representing the systemic dynamics of the economic complex of the Russian Federation is carried out. The subsequent research phase involves verifying the hypothesis of the nonlinear impact of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and externalized sanctions regimes initiated by geopolitical opponents on the stochastic volatility of stock indices, profit margins of corporations that are systemically important agents, as well as on exchange rate imbalances in the context of a multipolar monetary system. The final segment of the study includes predictive modeling of the trajectory of economic development based on factor analysis of the exogenous-endogenous continuum, with an emphasis on identifying the dominant determinants of structural shifts.
The presented study focuses its epistemological focus on determining the correlational and causal relationships between exogenous shocks of an ecopolitical nature, which have intensified since the beginning of 2019, and the prospects for sustainable development of the national economic paradigm of the Russian Federation. Within the framework of the methodological framework of this research, a multivariate analysis of the transformational trends of key macroeconomic indicators representing the systemic dynamics of the economic complex of the Russian Federation is carried out. The subsequent research phase involves verifying the hypothesis of the nonlinear impact of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and externalized sanctions regimes initiated by geopolitical opponents on the stochastic volatility of stock indices, profit margins of corporations that are systemically important agents, as well as on exchange rate imbalances in the context of a multipolar monetary system. The final segment of the study includes predictive modeling of the trajectory of economic development based on factor analysis of the exogenous-endogenous continuum, with an emphasis on identifying the dominant determinants of structural shifts.
Keywords:
sanctions, macroeconomic indicator, COVID-19 pandemic, aggravation of the global geopolitical situation, stock index, net profit, national currency, neocolonialism
sanctions, macroeconomic indicator, COVID-19 pandemic, aggravation of the global geopolitical situation, stock index, net profit, national currency, neocolonialism
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