graduate student
With each new managerial paradigm – from the stable SPOD to today’s DAUTI – the share of predictability in management and planning is declining dramatically. Whereas it was once possible to plan an enterprise’s activities years ahead, today a manager can reliably forecast the end result only for small organizational units and within a limited planning horizon. At the same time, existing paradigms accumulate in layers: residual SPOD processes continue to operate within VUCA/BANI chaos, and, in the context of DAUTI’s emergence and in light of earlier paradigms, the author proposes the concept of a hybrid organizational architecture in which the corporate core operates according to the principles of antifragility, while the periphery follows the logic of rapid hypothesis testing and flexible team configuration around current tasks, under conditions of potential pivots in both business processes and the business model.
flexible management, SPOD, VUCA, BANI, SHIVA, DAUTI, adaptive management, chaos
1. Anan'eva, S. E. Upravlenie komandami v BANI-mire / S. E. Anan'eva // Aktual'nye problemy ekonomiki sovremennoy Rossii : sbornik materialov Vserossiyskoy (nacional'noy) nauchno-prakticheskoy konferencii, Yoshkar-Ola, 17 maya 2022 goda. Tom Vypusk 9. – Yoshkar-Ola: Mariyskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet, 2022. – S. 39-42. – EDN OJDUXN.
2. Blinova, O. A. VUCA, BANI, SHIVA - akronimy, ob'yasnyayuschie mir / O. A. Blinova // Effektivnyy otvet na sovremennye vyzovy s uchetom vzaimodeystviya cheloveka i prirody, cheloveka i tehnologiy : Materialy XV Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-tehnicheskoy konferencii, Ekaterinburg, 08 fevralya 2024 goda. – Ekaterinburg: Ural'skiy gosudarstvennyy lesotehnicheskiy universitet, 2024. – S. 730-735. – EDN IYPYHK.
3. Varlamova, T. G. Aktual'nye kompetencii menedzherov, prinimayuschih upravlencheskie resheniya v usloviyah mira Shiva / T. G. Varlamova, A. S. Belyakova // Ekonomika i biznes v usloviyah cifrovoy transformacii i novyh vyzovov : Materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferencii, Moskva, 14 aprelya 2023 goda. – Moskva: Avtonomnaya nekommercheskaya organizaciya vysshego obrazovaniya "Institut biznesa i dizayna", 2023. – S. 184-193. – EDN BUOGOY.
4. Golubev, A. S. Dinamika modeley upravleniya v yazykah SPOD-mira i VUCA-mira / A. S. Golubev // Noosfernye issledovaniya. – 2023. – № 2. – S. 101-108. – DOIhttps://doi.org/10.46724/NOOS.2023.2.101-108. – EDN UADZII.
5. Mihaylova, E. A. «Chernyy lebed'» i BANI-mir: upravlenie organizaciey v usloviyah krizisa / E. A. Mihaylova, I. V. Hilinskaya // Nauchnoe prostranstvo sovremennoy molodezhi: prioritetnye zadachi i innovacionnye resheniya : Sbornik statey uchastnikov IV Vserossiyskoy molodezhnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferencii, Chelyabinsk, 05–06 aprelya 2023 goda. – Chelyabinsk: Chelyabinskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet, 2023. – S. 173-175. – EDN GQTTVD.
6. Mironova, O. A. Faktory povysheniya effektivnosti upravleniya organizaciyami v usloviyah VUCA- i BANI-mira / O. A. Mironova, R. M. Bogdanova // Vestnik Samarskogo gosudarstvennogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta. – 2024. – № 9(239). – S. 95-105. – EDN WURNDQ.
7. Ryabov, V. B. Modeli mira i problemy sovremennogo etapa vzaimodeystviya estestvennoy i iskusstvennoy evolyucii cheloveka / V. B. Ryabov // Institut psihologii Rossiyskoy akademii nauk. Organizacionnaya psihologiya i psihologiya truda. – 2023. – T. 8, № 4. – S. 101-127. – DOIhttps://doi.org/10.38098/ipran.opwp_2023_29_4_005. – EDN HYMBWA.
8. Simhovich, V. A. Chto takoe VUCA-mir i mozhno li im upravlyat'? / V. A. Simhovich // Social'noe znanie v sovremennom obschestve: problemy, zakonomernosti, perspektivy : materialy IV Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferencii, Minsk, 09–10 noyabrya 2023 goda. – Gomel': Redakciya gazety "Gomel'skaya praўda", 2023. – S. 101-103. – EDN FVYYOI.
9. Sravnenie VUCA- i BANI-koncepciy videniya mira v razreze biznes-sfery // Nedelya nauki Sankt-Peterburgskogo gosudarstvennogo morskogo tehnicheskogo universiteta. – 2022. – № 1-1. – EDN OSOMNW.
10. Digital 2023: Global Overview Report // DATAREPORTAL URL: https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2023-global-overview-report (data obrascheniya: 05.05.2025).
