employee
The article considers the economic aspects of forecasting the consumption of transboundary water resources. This topic is especially relevant in the context of global challenges and the specifics of the length of the borders of the Russian Federation, most of which pass through water resources. The article highlights the factors influencing the economic forecasting of water consumption in utilities and in economic sectors. Economic and mathematical forecasting methods, the use of specific water consumption rates are considered. Forecasting the use of water resources requires taking into account many factors that determine changes in water consumption in various sectors of the economy in the context of entities. The concepts of "virtual water" and "water footprint" allow us to analyze water use on a global scale, analyze the demand and consumption of water for the presence of "blue water". The need to take into account many factors determines the demand for the use of modern digital technologies, the use of which allows solving the problems of obtaining accurate data for the analysis and processing of complex economic and mathematical models, which significantly increases the accuracy of forecasting. The author presents the relationship between economic analysis, water resources accounting and the use of modern digital technologies for the development of international agreements on the efficient use of transboundary water resources.
forecasting, transboundary resources, water footprint, water stress, virtual water, neural network modeling, artificial intelligence, blockchain
1. Konvenciya po ohrane i ispol'zovaniyu transgranichnyh vodotokov i mezhdunarodnyh ozer ot 17 marta 1992 g.: [Prinyat v SSCR v 1993 g.] – Tekst: elektronnyy // Garant : informacionno-pravovoy portal. – Moskva, 2002. – Zagl. s titul. ekrana. – URL: https://base.garant.ru/2540662/ (data obrascheniya: 11.12.2024).
2. O sovershenstvovanii metodologii prognozirovaniya razvitiya ekonomiki, v tom chisle s uchetom transgranichnyh posledstviy prinimaemyh resheniy v oblasti makroekonomicheskoy politiki : Rekomendaciya Kollegii Evraziyskoy ekonomicheskoy komissii ot 14 fevralya 2024 g. № 5 : [Prinyat Vysshem Evraziyskim ekonomicheskim sovetom ot 11 dekabrya 2020 g.] – Tekst: elektronnyy // Garant : informacionno-pravovoy portal. – Moskva, 2002. – Zagl. s titul. ekrana. – URL: https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/408468849/ (data obrascheniya: 08.12.2024).
3. Demin, A P. Prognoz vodopotrebleniya na nuzhdy orosheniya v basseyne reki don / A P. Demin, A V. Zayceva – Tekst: elektronnyy // Stepi Severnoy Evrazii: materialy IH mezhdunarodnogo simpoziuma. – 2021. – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/prognoz-vodopotrebleniya-na-nuzhdy-orosheniya-v-basseyne-reki-don (data obrascheniya: 27.11.2024).
4. Demin, A. P. Transformaciya vodopotrebleniya i vodootvedeniya v rossiyskoy chasti basseyna transgranichnoy reki Ural / Demin A. P. – Tekst: elektronnyy // Yug Rossii: ekologiya, razvitie. – 2023. – №1 (66). – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/transformatsiya-vodopotrebleniya-i-vodootvedeniya-v-rossiyskoy-chasti-basseyna-transgranichnoy-reki-ural (data obrascheniya: 26.11.2024).
5. Kamyshova, G.N. Sovremennye tehnologii upravleniya vodnymi resursami v kontekste ustoychivogo razvitiya transgranichnyh regionov / G.N. Kamyshova, N.N. Terehova – Tekst: elektronnyy // Mezhdunarodnyy nauchno-issledovatel'skiy zhurnal. – 2022. – №4 (118). – URL: https://research-journal.org/archive/4-118-2022-april/sovremennye-texnologii-upravleniya-vodnymi-resursami-v-kontekste-ustojchivogo-razvitiya-transgranichnyx-regionov (data obrascheniya: 03.12.2024).
6. Lebedeva, V. E. Primenenie cifrovyh tehnologiy v oblasti upravleniya vodnymi resursami na predpriyatii / V. E. Lebedeva // Upravlenie innovacionnymi i investicionnymi processami i izmeneniyami v usloviyah cifrovoy ekonomiki : Sbornik nauchnyh trudov po itogam III mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferencii, Sankt-Peterburg, 27–28 oktyabrya 2020 goda / Pod redakciey G.A. Krayuhina, G.L. Bagieva. – Sankt-Peterburg: Sankt-Peterburgskiy gosudarstvennyy ekonomicheskiy universitet, 2020. – S. 356-361.
7. Polozhenie del v oblasti Prodovol'stviya i sel'skogo hozyaystva. Doklad OON 2020. – URL: https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/be8b5911-62a4-4df6-a64f-0ce92f475342/content (data obrascheniya: 27.11.2024). – Tekst : elektronnyy.
8. Rosvodresursy: oficial'nyy sayt. – Moskva. – Obnovlyaetsya v techenie sutok. – URL: https://www.waterfootprint.org/ (data obrascheniya: 27.11.2024). – Tekst : elektronnyy.
9. Strategicheskiy podhod k monitoringu i ocenke transgranichnyh rek, ozer i podzemnyh vod (obnovlennoe izdanie) : oficial'nyy sayt. – Unece. – Obnovlyaetsya v techenie sutok. – URL: https://unece.org/sites/default/files/2023-05/2228431_R_web_0.pdf (data obrascheniya: 20.11.2024). – Tekst : elektronnyy.
10. Finansirovanie transgranichnogo vodnogo sotrudnichestva i razvitiya basseynov: oficial'nyy sayt. – Unece. – Obnovlyaetsya v techenie sutok. – URL: https://unece.org/ru/environment-policy/publications/finansirovanie-transgranichnogo-vodnogo-sotrudnichestva-i-razvitiya (data obrascheniya: 20.11.2024). – Tekst : elektronnyy.
11. Frumin G.T. Transgranichnye vodnye ob'ekty i vodosbory Rossii: problemy i puti resheniya / G.T. Frumin, L. A. Timofeeva – Tekst: elektronnyy // Biosfera. – 2014. –№2. – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/transgranichnye-vodnye-obekty-i-vodosbory-rossii-problemy-i-puti-resheniya (data obrascheniya: 25.11.2024).
12. Kambarbekov G M.. Using artificial intelligence for hydrological modelling / G M. Kambarbekov, A. Ye. Baimaganbetov // Geografiya i vodnye resursy. – 2024. – №1. –URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/using-artificial-intelligence-for-hydrological-modelling (data obrascheniya: 05.12.2024).
13. Water Footprint Network: oficial'nyy sayt. – Obnovlyaetsya v techenie sutok. – URL: https://www.waterfootprint.org/ (data obrascheniya: 27.11.2024). – Tekst : elektronnyy.
14. World Resources Institute: oficial'nyy sayt. – Obnovlyaetsya v techenie sutok. – URL: https://www.wri.org/ (data obrascheniya: 27.11.2024). – Tekst : elektronnyy.
